π Would you rather be on the side of the oddsmakers (the ones that work in the huge lavish casinos), or the NFL betting public? Each week, WagerTalk handicapper Steve Merril identifies a handful of plays that the betting public is attracted to. Join Steve for the full Week 4 edition of his NFL Public Betting Report!
00:00 Introduction
01:40 ATL v JAX
03:10 MIN v CAR
05:50 PHI v WAS
09:05 CIN v TEN
10:45 LV v LAC
12:20 KC v NYJ
16:37 SEA v NYG
17:27 MIA v BUF
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The Pat McAfee Show goes through every game on the NFL Week 3 slate and makes their picks live from the campus of Notre Dame.
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Even tho itβs one of the most public plays the titans are pathetic on offense bengals started to actually look they were coming along. Personally I have zero faith in the titans
Sf and over in arizona sf my 2 favorite bets this week steve and good luck on the card
Thanks for the show.
Jags always play overseas because the owner is a prominent British businessman. Part of the deal when he bought the team.
Washington ML
Cincinnati ML
New England ML
Good luck everyone and enjoy the game's today π«‘
Im going to see what the total on Bills and Dolphins looks like as close to game time as possible. The public is going to inflate it through the roof. Im looking at 53.5 right now. Id like to get 55.5 if i can and take the under.
Hey last week colts and browns were my only plays from your FTP even though the colts was just a bit outside if i remember correctly lol
my picks for today in the nfl i picked the vikings at -2.5 i picked texans at +4 ravens+2.5-109 bills-3+100 washington commanders+9.5-110 jets+9.5-112
Im feeling a crazy week. Im gonna focus on just a few games.
GREAT STUFF STEVIE….MIA 4 STAR
2023 NFL Week 4 Selections
Just for you Steve since you wanted some teaser ideas. I normally don't bet teasers, but this week I will on this one.
6 point Teaser – KC/Philly — Tease down to -2.5 or better on both. I don't do a lot of teasers, but this one looked too good to be true, which probably means it will lose.
Rest of my picks for the week. Good Luck
2023 NFL Week 4 Selections
STEELERS -2.5 – Young Mr. Stroud, Let us introduce to you Mr. Watt and Mr. Highsmith. Welcome to the NFL young man and sorry today won't be your day.
JAGS -3 – Jags an under performing team who are making a lot of mistakes. That will change soon and I expect it to this weekend. Far better talent. It appears I am dead wrong on Atlanta's offensive line and Ridder being the man and so once again it is time to pivot off of a wrong idea.
EAGLES -8.5 – Slaughter. Eagles dominate both sides of the line of scrimmage with much better offensive talent. As I mentioned earlier I don't normally bet big favorites unless I smell a complete mismatch – especially with a defense that can possibly shut the other team out, as the Eagles have.
HAWKS Pick EM — Better team who plays well on the road. Giants a MESS.
BENGAL -2 — REASSESSED THIS GAME After thinking Titans — Burrow's calf is much better than earlier reports and he will be able to throw deep and stretch the defense. The Bengals put it together this week for a big win.
PATS +7 – Too many points. Injuries really hurt Dallas last week and that will continue. The OL is like an orchestra, if one instrument is bad they play like crap, especially when they lose the offensive center.
Week 1 NFL Record (2-2)
Week 2 NFL Record (5-1-1)
Week 3 NFL Record (2-4-1)
Good Luck
Any TD for Colts QB Richardson +100….
Great information βΉοΈ
Falcons ml for me πππ! What up Steve!!!
Love the show. I agree the public is on KC, but how is it moving? Doesnβt take a ton of money to move it but who is betting on the jets
Hey Steve – enjoy your videos thank you! Can you share how you determine the public is on a team? What criteria? Is it # of tickets bet (and if so what % of overall tickets?), are there certain sports books that you check, is it just the sports book managers who tell you, and how do they track public money/bets vs pro money/bets, etc? Maybe you canβt reveal all that but just looking for some idea.
Also what is considered a good yards/play average – anything over 6? Or?
Thanks again – Mark
Thanks Steve. Would give you more than one thumbs up if I could.
Feels like Shad Khan would move the Jags to the UK if he could. As for the game, I don't think there's a real advantage this week, but next week vs Buffalo should be interesting. At least Shad will outdraw his son Tony in Wembley, so there's that.
Already in on ATL and CAR. Chargers are really banged up so a FTP bet might be good here.
They're really trying to tempt me with "Not Your" Washington Commanders, but all that number does is make me think of teasing the Eagles. I guess teasing PHI/KC would make a lot of sense here.
No idea what to think of the Bengals at this point.
LOLJets
Great show
Vikings ml and to cover
Bengels -2.5
Ravens +3 Good Luck π
πΊπΈππΊπΈππΊπΈππΊπΈ
Welp! You guys absolutely NAILED the Titans and Browns gameβ¦.π€£π€£π€£π€£π€£π€£π€£π€£π€£π€£π€£π€£
Shane was on fire…
Bro got recruited by Elon πππ I'm from Burlington so that's funny
Cant bet on Watson he ποΈ
LET'S GO BUFFALO!!!β₯οΈππ¦¬ππ₯
is that gillis lol
Upset pick bucs over eagles
These Mfs really picked the colts over the ravens, and the bills, BUT NOT THE JETS WHO BEAT THE BILLS
Atlanta Falcons by 7 and take the over
The colts are not beating the Baltimore
The Groomer Boys feat. The Living Legend Shane Gillis.
Careful Shane, these boys are compromised.
Lmfaoooo the red rocket killed me
Pittsburgh+2.5 at Raiders
Cowboys -12.5 at Cardinals
Bears at -12.5 KC
Denver at -6.5 Miami
Saints+1.5 at Packers
Falcon+3 at Lions
Buffalo -6.5 at Commanders
Patriots -2.5 at Jets