π Fading the public through the first ten weeks of the NFL Season has proven to be QUITE successful, rarely going below .500 since we kicked off the season! Join Steve for the full Week 11 edition of his NFL Public Betting Report
Would you rather be on the side of the oddsmakers (the ones that work in the huge lavish casinos), or the NFL betting public? Each week, WagerTalk handicapper Steve Merril identifies a handful of plays that the betting public is attracted to. This week, Steve offers his thoughts on a handful of games for Sunday’s full NFL betting slate.
Introduction 00:00
Commanders -3 (at Texans) 03:35
Giants -3 (vs. Lions) 05:30
Panthers +13 (at Ravens) 07:39
Bears +3 (at Falcons) 10:30
Vikings +1.5 (vs. Cowboys) 13:40
Jets +3.5 (at Patriots) 16:08
Cardinals +8 (vs. 49ers) 18:00
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π° In this week’s episode of Bet On It direct from Las Vegas: Kelly Stewart, Marco D’Angelo, Joe Raineri and Ralph Michaels break down the NFL Week 11 card from a sports betting perspective, sharing their NFL best bets and predictions for the biggest games on this weekend’s slate. The barking dogs, sandwiches, and teasers are back! Join Andy Lang and Ariel Epstein in The Prop Shop as they share their favorite NFL prop bets for this week’s marquee matchups. Join Kelly, Marco, Joe, Ralph, Andy and Ariel every Wednesday for Bet On It as we break down the National Football League slate from a variety of betting angles.
#BetOnIt | #NFL | #NFLBetting
00:00 – Intro
00:25 – Tennessee Titans vs Green Bay Packers Preview
05:20 – Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers Preview
09:00 – NFL Week 11 Trends and Angles with Ralph Michaels
16:55 – NFL Week 11 Teaser Recommendations
22:50 – Marco’s NFL Week 11 Trap Game (New York Jets vs New England Patriots)
26:00 – Are You High? NFL Totals Discussion
28:35 – NFL Week 11 Barking ‘Dogs
36:10 – The Prop Shop with Andy Lang and Ariel Epstein
44:11 – NFL Week 11 Best Bets
52:20 – Recap
βΊ The crew opens up the show by sharing their betting thoughts on this weekend’s marquee NFL matchups: Tennessee Titans vs Green Bay Packers and Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers.
π Each week Ralph Michaels will sit down with Kelly Stewart for Ralph’s T & A stats of the week.
π§ Are you high? Or not high enough? Find out which totals are drawing sharp money in the betting market!
πΆ Time for the “Barking Dogs” segment as the panel goes over some live underdogs and find out who the crew is planning to sprinkle on the moneyline.
π― Looking for player props? Andy Lang and Ariel Epstein bring you to the Prop Shop to discuss their favorite NFL prop bets of the week.
βοΈ Each and every episode of Bet On It closes out with everyone’s favorite segment: Free NFL Football Best Bets!
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βΊ Andy Lang: https://twitter.com/BumpSports
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Love your videos Steve. Itβs so useful to hear you explain how the books choose lines and manipulate the public/how to use it to your advantage.
Unlike other people you educate us and Iβm so grateful for this, itβs completely changed me from someone losing a bit of money for fun to enjoying sports betting and making a second income π
Hi Steve been watching ur videos for past 2 years . Always hit the like button. My question Steve is if you faded the public since start of year? What would ur record be ? Great job Steve and good luck.!!
how is the public backing Arizona and the spread has jumped to 10
Sunipsis?
Bro this guy Steve got me putting money on the shit ass Texans
Commanders made def changes, and it has been showing, I bet on Commanders and am up 7 already
Hey Steve, do you bet your own plays?
I hear alot of the arguments for Arizona, but I still like San Fran -8. Monday night favorite to cover is due, lol.
Money has gone on New England to move the spread from 3 to 3.5. Jets are way better. Jets MONEYLINE is the play.
No way does Dallas win in Minnesota. Public or not, Minnesota wins.
I have a hunch the public might be right on a couple of these. I get the sharp thinking on the Texans and Lions, but I think the sharps may be wrong on those two. I agree with fading the Jets and Bears though.
Can you tell me how you know who the public is on before 1 hour of game time. 30% bets are placed on Sunday morning
When You say dog and underdog which way are you saying to bet
I literally have every single one of these bets except the last 2 lmao. Looks like I must be a square π
Thanks for your info π
Luv it Steve…..let's cash more tickets today!!!!!…..Let's Go!!!!
β€οΈ your content but get off your hate for new Washington name please
Thanks Steve!
Dude Iβve been getting my teeth kicked in fading the public these past 2 weeks
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Kelly did you congratulate Joe R. for teasing the Eagles down to minus one-half because NFL games are decided by one? Good job Joe R. and good insight.
I roasted you guys the other week but fair play, great calling this week, so a big well done this week to all of you
i dont pick lines if i pick favourites i usually do 1-13 margin
has value $2.30-$2.80 on average
im tryin get 3 games a parlay for $20 usually $320-$400 return for $20 on 3 games of 1-13 margins a parlay
2023 i wana cut it down to 2 games odds is usually $4.80-$8 for 2 games of 1-13 margins is ok
for my 2 slips i did today for nfl
bet slip #1
$20 bet for $360 return
2/3
1.washington win option 1-13 margin is $2.62 win 23-10 v texans
2.new england win option 1-13 margin is $2.62 win 10-3 v jets
3.giants lose option 1-13 margin is $2.62 lose 31-18 v lions
bet slip #2
$20 bet for $360 return roughly
2/3
1.falcons win option 1-13 margin is $2.62 win 27-24 v bears
2.eagles win option 1-13 margin is $2.47 win 17-16 v colts
3.bills win but option 14+ margin lose $2.58 win 31-23 v browns they only won by 8points i had 14+ bills so 2/3
2023 i do 1-2 bet slips favourites
2 games a parlay of 1-13 margins
& 2 games underdogs either + or straight underdogs
but my totals slips was horrible 0/6 i wont touch that again lol
just did 1 but have 1 slip for friday already
lions & giants good chance of winnin at $4.20 underdogs both teams r prices seem right but im usin smaller amounts i'l take 2 games straight underdogs my only slip for friday nfl
monday i like more favourites 1-13 margins with what fixtures givin me
2023 & beyond shoudl b good
exmaple
$10,000 bet on 1-13 margins for nfl 2 games parlay is winnable with what im seein 2022 i like better then line & i have heart to win & lose my money on favourites 1-13 margin not line – minus for favourites is $1.84 on average
i only do + lines with underdogs 2023 as my 2nd slip or i alternate the line down to at least 3points i like feild goal covers so if a +9 underdog i can bring down to +3 which is good money if 2 games a slip
$10,000 bet on odds $5-$8
$80,000 return
id wana have at least 5-6 parlays of those before i stop gamblin for at least 1yr
but nfl margins 1-13 r great i find for me in my opioion
just cut down to 2 a slip 2023 + i dont wana work anymore lol so 2-3 of those $80,000 returns im callin up the marchin band & gutiarist & singers & announcin it at job sites haha financial freedom would allow me to b more of a douch & happier internally that i dont hav to listen to some bum supervisor that liks flexin his badge to others lol not worth it physically
& yeah i had titans at $2.50 underdogs last week just nba games let me down which is y i dont wana b cocky in thinkin i can beat nba as well lol
nba has been cut out
nfl,nhl & europe rugby come october-april 2023 & beyond
& 1-13 margins for favourites
π
Kelly: IDK what Joe is doing NFL games donβt land on 1 and Eagles lose outright
Eagles vs Colts: Eagles 17 Colts 16
With all respect JOE first half ravens -6.5 or -7 WTF MAN regards π€¦ββοΈ
Yo Marco I thought it was best bets not worst bets …lol step your game up man these picks you are making are trash ποΈ when is the last time one of your best bets were right I went back three weeks each one have been π©
Dal is having nyg next week. Bad spot for dallas. Is not this a trap game? Marcos i learn this from you.
Excelent show as always. I have to admit i prefer joe to giannis i laugh more. And with marco they push kelly nice.
Trends & Angles is the most valuable segment, love the length of it this week
Damn, can we get some VR insight on some games, miss gianni
I thought that was Joe's normal voice but you're telling me at 28:40 that the man can communicate without yelling?? Mind blown
Wow stat daddy the cream is rising
Marco Barco πππππ
Happy Birthday Stat Daddy!!!!π sell the database π
Andy and Arielβs Prop segment should be longer or have there own video. Best part on the channel in my opinion.
Love the show always β€οΈ
Kelly and Joe are among the best of the best I pray Marco stop showing up please god
Part of me wants to take under on the new line of 52.5 in the KC game.
Letβs go barking dogs!
my picks for tommorrow miami heat+10.5 charlotte hornets+6 in the nfl i picked texans at +3.5 i picked the steelers at +6 i picked chargers at +7 dallas cowboys-1.5