The Racing Dudes reveal their Top 10 Kentucky Derby prospects and discuss what horses they are most interested in playing in the 2024 Kentucky Derby. Then the Dudes give rapid-fire selections for the graded stakes action this weekend at Keeneland and Oaklawn Park, including the .25 million Apple Blossom Handicap (G1).
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Video Rating: / 5
Post position makes it all happen
problem with l. siera is horse get boxed in. to late. to win. get good wide trip can win.
if play forever young be for 2nd,3rd ,4th. dont see horse winning at all.
dont see fierceness getting a perfect trip in the derby with 20 horses. plus pletcher record is worst horses sent to derby to win. see him regressing.
Does anybody have win percentage on Japan horse. Jockey and TRAINER WIN PERCENTAGE
Racing Dudes,,,,,,,,the 2024 Kentucky Derby winner is not in your top 10.
You'll know in the first 100 yards if Fierceness will run his race.
You guys are terrible
If Fierceness has trouble or doesn't fire then Forever Young will be in a much better spot to take advantage than SL and CF. He should be sitting in first half of field at least
why cant you bet a win horse? my thoughts is the japan horses or UAE horses every year are almost alone a take out reducer (in win pools which is the topic here but also of course in all pools as they will not and never have hit top 4, its like free money to have in the pool). makes many others at par fair value just form that, toss out a few well overbet names, or a couple horrifical longshots ,taking 2% 3% here and there, toss the 1 post horse and 6-8 of these will be better than fair value par easily. very easily….
It still might be a very good crop of 3 YO's, but some of the best aren't in the Derby.. Nysos & Knightsbridge have the potential to be as good or better than Fierceness.
If we think all American horses aren’t that good, than it kinda seems like the perfect storm for a Japanese horse finally winning
Are you afraid of how Sierra Leone lugs in badly in the stretch? I'm afraid that he will impede or bump someone so bad he will get disqualified.
HEY!!!!! Why don't you say Top Connor about ten more times as you totally disregard, ahh, umm, the six, just.. just?? Are you serious? And you're still saying his name!! You own a piece of him? Really kid, open your eyes a little. Will ya
Dint we just buy 2 sets of tickets? One keying fierceness, one fading him out? I had fierceness in the breeders cup and haven't had him since
These Overseas Horses Cannot Handle The Dirt Speed Of The American Horses,,,,🏰🇺🇸🇯🇲 Mr. KeenObserVatioN PhD,🇯🇲🇺🇸🏰
Judging From All The Last Raced Prep Victories Fierceness Ran The Most Improved Race And Showed He’s The Most Improved By Winning His Last Prep Easier Than All And He Wasn’t Even Ridden So He’s Coming To The Derby Fit And Fresh Unlike Sierra Leone Whom Had To Battle From Dead Last To Win, Excreting A Lot Of Energy, And He Could Bounce In The Derby, Something You All Not Mentioning, Fierceness Will Win The Derby By 10 Lengths, Sierra Leone Will Arrive When The Race Is Over,,,,🏰🇺🇸🇯🇲 Mr. KeenObserVatioN PhD,🇯🇲🇺🇸🏰
Congrats racing dudes killing it in the betting bible this year, and huge shout out to curtis and mike giving out a free winning pick five ticket last week on the magic mike show!
When i find myself hoping to see something i missed in the jeff ruby stakes replay, it is a tough betting year in the derby. I’m trying to hard to differentiate 10 “same-same” horses.
Of Todd Pletcher's 7 FL Derby winners before 2024, only one of the 5 that contested the KD emerged with a win. Public opinion still has Always Dreaming a lucky winner due largely to the misfortune of Classic Empire.
The average post FL Derby starts for TP's winners is approximately 3. The high being 6 (Always Dreaming) and the low being 1 (Scatt Dady) See summary below:
2007 – Scatt Daddy – 18th in KD retired.
2014 – Constitution – Didn’t Contest the KD (won 1 of 5 races thereafter)
2015 – Materiality – 7th KD (Finished 8th in Belmont and retired)
2017 – Always Dreaming – 1st in KD (Didn’t win in 4 races thereafter – retired)
2018 – Audible – 3rd KD (won 1 of 4 races thereafter and retired)
2021 – Known Agenda – 8th in KD (4th in Belmont then retired)
2023 – Forte – Didn’t Contest the KD (won 1 of 3 races thereafter – retired)
How can the above be used to forecast the fortunes of Fierceness? Let's keep it real. The above is not a flattering record.
Fierceness' in and out pattern of performance, coupled with the record of the barn he will be representing, doesn't suggest this colt should be at the top of any KD list, despite his runaway win in the FL Derby.
NB: Bellamy Road was assigned a 120 Beyer after his NTR in the 2005 Wood Memorial. He finished off the board in the KD. Fierceness is a bet against.
To me it's a little easier to separate the top two! It takes mental and physical TOUGHNESS to win a gruelling race like the Kentucky Derby. Sierra Leone has it, and Fierceness doesn't !!