Wednesday, August 23, 2023: Get daily free picks, sports betting tips, and advice from The Prez and Teddy Covers Monday through Friday on WagerTalk Today. On every show, the Dynamic Duo breaks down the biggest games on the board with special guest handicappers, giving out free NBA picks, NFL predictions, college football betting advice and so much more. Each week we check in with Las Vegas bookmakers and professional sports bettors to get the inside scoop on the sports betting industry.
On Wednesday’s edition of WagerTalk Today, Adam Trigger and Eric Pauly join Prez and Teddy on the show to talk MLB & NFL Betting. Bryan Power stops by to talk Navy vs Notre Dame in Week 0 of college football kicking off Saturday.
Introduction 00:00
Bryan Power 00:29
Navy vs Notre Dame – Week 0 CFB 01:00
Nationals vs Yankees 08:20
Betting Strategies – How to Make Power Ratings 13:05
Adam Trigger 16:40
NFLX Week 3 – Browns vs Chiefs 18:46
CFB Week 0 – New Mexico vs UMass 25:30
Betting Strategies – Tracking Units 35:25
Teddy’s Big Game Breakdown – CFB Week 0 – SDSU vs Ohio 36:59
Gold Sheet’s Eric Pauly 40:00
Kevin Gausman Pitching Prop 40:52
NFL Defensive Player of the Year Winner 47:32
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🏈 College Football is officially BACK this weekend! Which Week 0 wagers are you circling or have bet already? Drop them in the comments below! 👇
Bryan Power the Yankees got it done ✔️
Same of these handicapper have great systems
I been taking notes per sport in a 5 subject notebook for 2 consecutive years
Teams who open the season with back to back division games, are they more likely to go 1-1, 2-0 or 0-2 ATS in the NFL?
Vanderbilt is my Lock 🔐💰
Prez and Teddy… how do I condense everything I want to say. This channel is fantastic. Cappers are great on the mics and it's been fun to see the professional aspects grow as well over these last 3 years. Gotta admit, Kinda miss the laughter and 'Teddy-Prez' banter from time to time, but I get it. Fantastic guys! You guys have no idea how much I've learned every day over the past 3 years. We should be thanking you guys. Outstanding stuff
Great show guys! Let's go bluejays 1st 5!
Hi All- Avid viewer, subscriber, thumbs up giver and client of many WT cappers, past and present. Keep it going!
This is probably already too long (apologies to Adam T.) , but thems the breaks. And whether or not anyone chooses to read and or respond to this is a completely whole separate issue. Here goes:
At about the 36 minute mark of todays podcast, The Prez was addressing a %BR tabulation question regarding bet sizing/ record keeping. The response given in my opinion was fair. Generally, keep all your bet sizes close, as no one play warrants a 10% bet etc
I’d like to take it one step further and state that ALL bets (aside from fun bets exotics, futures and the like) should be sized equally and flat. In fact, no more than 2% of BR should ever be bet on a play, period.
I know everyone thinks different and bets different according to their comfort level. I get it. But if you’re goal oriented and going to grind this out for the long term for profit, $ management is vital.
Picking winners is hard work. Knowing how to bet those picks should be easy. And it is. Its having the discipline to be a ”robotic” wagerer that’s the challenge.
Betting per the Kelly Criterion, double-ups, Martingale, star bets etc., and dare I say even %BR is dangerous. Who was the capper from long ago who said something to the effect, “If you size your bets using star ratings, I hope you like stars, cuz one day you’ll be sleeping under them.”
Fully realize from a business standpoint the “need” for % bets. To me personally however, a bet is a bet. Grading one bet over another is a skill that I think few possess. Handicapping your handicaps I think impossible.
Hard to get excited and sell something if a capper were to release a 1% play. Put out a “rare” 5% however, and psychologically one is smitten. I get it.
Let’s say the 50+ handicappers on WT and SportsMemo all agreed to a contest that each had to make 5 plays per day and rate each as a 5, 4, 3, 2 or 1% play. Regardless of odds, over the course of one year and 1825 wagers later, how many cappers do you think would have their 5% plays winning at a higher percentage than their 4% plays, their 4% plays winning at a higher % than their 3% plays etc etc. on down the line? No way to prove or disprove it, but my guess would be a small few if any.
How demoralizing and fiscally “irresponsible” to bet someone’s 5% loser, 4% loser and his winning 3%, 2% and 1% plays for the day and end up losing money! Over the long term it’s a sure way to looking at those stars up close and personal.
Thus, a bet is a bet. All flat. All the same. All the time. All boring. All good.
Not breaking any new ground here. Just my thoughts. Thanks and good luck to all!
Great show today guys.
Heard on an interview last week on a podcast that FCS I-AA lines aren’t as sharp as I-A lines. Any thoughts on this? Appreciate this show immensely.
Prez, you don't educate anybody, you are just an old's man talking head. Teddy and the guests are the only real handicappers giving useful info.
Such a great show as always thanks for all of the hard work dedication, and amazing content. Much love from Toronto Canada
Great show!
Question for you – How do you factor NFL injuries into your handicapping decisions, specifically key players who are questionable all week and could even be questionable on Sunday morning? For example, say a teams WR #2 and the starting LG are questionable….how do you approach that from a handicapping standpoint?
Baltimore +105 ..great value…at home and how they pelted Toronto before. ..
Joining replay, first shower, today the washing machine what aweek
I like Navy plus 20.5…this is a veteran team..going against some inexperienced Notre Dame squad….
But Notre dame should pull away….easy thou…some new coaches here
Another great show