Here is a look at our Power 2 Conference Realignment in the scenario that the Pac 12 and ACC ends up folding in the future.
Today, I make a poor attempt to make sense and predict future college football conference realignment, enjoy!
revenue across major power 5 conferences
TV Deals
Will the Power 5 become the Power 2?
#cfbplayoff
Big Ten & SEC creating 20 team SUPER Conferences
The Next college football realignment moves that could change up college football!
Where will college football’s power conferences be in the Next Years?
Less than 4 weeks until the start of the 2022 college football season, and here is the Official Uncle Lou Top 25 Preseason Rankings, with explanation.
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THE FULL PICTURE IS IN! -August 11, 2022
ND TO STAY INDEPENDENT;
MIAMI IS IN, JOINING THE SEC!
(They're going to 25)
THE NEW FULL MEMO ON COLLEGE FOOTBALL REALIGNMENT…
Please remember, as Commissioner Warren said, these things are planned well in advance…
To the B1G (FOX): Pitt, Stanford, Cal, Washington, Utah, Oregon, Kansas, Arizona and Colorado for 25 (all here mentioned are AAU schools).
To the SEC (ESPN): NC(aau), Duke(aau), UVA(aau), Clemson, Florida St., West Virginia, Georgia Tech(aau), Miami and Virginia Tech for 25.
Notre Dame (NBC) (and BYU?) will stay independent with playoff access.
NOTE: Divisions are only for the purpose of assuring regional play and reducing travel, and could be annually flexible by school requests. The teams with the top 4 conference records will go to the conference semifinals in early December regardless of their divisions, and the conference championships are to be played on New Year's Day (B1G/Rose, SEC/Sugar, Third25/Cotton).
B1G25 Southern Pacific division
Cal
USC
UCLA
Arizona
Utah
B1G25 Northern Pacific division
Colorado
Nebraska
Stanford
Oregon
Washington
B1G25 Great Plains division
Minnesota
Iowa
Kansas
Wisconsin
Illinois
B1G25 Greal Lakes division
Indiana
Purdue
Northwestern
Michigan
Michigan State
B1G25 Union division
Rutgers
Maryland
Penn State
Pitt
Ohio State
Meet the SEC25:
Knowing that Pitt is going B1G, and 8 more ACC schools are going to the SEC, that's more than enough schools needed to break the ACC contract.
Given the continuing regional continuity of the SEC, divisions will be even less significant than in the B1G. Maintaining certain rivalries and neighborly games will be more a matter of game "reservation" than divisional assignments. Again, the 4 best conference records of the SEC to play in semifinals in early December.
Texas
Oklahoma
Texas A&M
Arkansas
Kentucky
Missouri
LSU
Miss State
Ole Miss
Tennessee
Vanderbilt
Alabama
Auburn
Florida
Florida St.
Georgia
Georgia Tech
South Carolina
Clemson
North Carolina
Duke
UVA
Virginia Tech
West Virginia
Miami
The rest to comprise TheThird25 conference with access relegation to playoff eligible divisions (similar to Euro soccer leagues) with guaranteed football playoff slots for their top teams every year. (Realignment for non football sports in this third conference, as membership could include 40 or so schools, with likely only 25 members of which will start the football season with access to the national playoff, more permanent regional sub conferences will be needed, and allowing these regional divisions to develop organically is expected to be one of the final components, and possibly most time consuming, such that the networks/B1G/SEC intend to allow the third conference a couple years of organization before defining a final playoff structure.)
This third conference is going to be full of badass non AAU schools from coast to coast, will have playoff access, and likely compete well for national titles moving forward.
And now be introduced to TheThird25 Conference:
TheThird24 (Apple/Amazon/Innovative Media Delivery, -and maybe CBS)
(Assuming BYU stays independent)
1) Oklahoma St.
2) Washington St.
3) TCU
4) Arizona St.
5) Kansas St.
6) Baylor
7) Boise St.
8) San Diego St.
9) NC St.
10) Tulane (AAU school)
11) Rice (AAU school)
12) UCF(disney/espn)
13) Louisville
14) Cincinnati
15) Houston
16) Boston College
To finish TheThird25:
Utah State
Syracuse
Hawaii
Oregon State
Fresno State
Iowa State
Texas Tech
SMU
Memphis and/or Southern Miss or Wake Forrest or Colorado State or Tulsa or Wyoming or New Mexico or UConn or Nevada or UTEP or Army or Navy or Air Force… etc. Relegation clearly required.
The Eligible76 (77 – BYU?)
So that makes 76 teams with playoff access each year: B1G25, SEC25, TheThird25 (with relegation beyond 25), and independent Notre Dame (and BYU?)
B1G/SEC to play 9 of 11 regular season games in conference (4 division, 1 each in the other 4 divisions, plus 1 reserved/rivalry game =9), and 2 non conference games (1 allowed to be an opponent beyond the eligible76).
How can this happen?
Quite simply. -and in the end likely a value booster for all schools through the 3 mega conferences…
Except for the 32 currrent legacy members of the B1G/SEC, revenue sharing as we've known it is finished. The rest will be taken on and paid in accord with their relative fanbase/marketshare and other values brought to the table.
And they're selling this beautifully…. This has to be the single best dudes' soap opera to run the sportswire in some time. This is intentional.
It's a done deal, but milking the interest is just the first part of this brilliant college football marketing campaign. -or, blame capitalism. ✌🤠✌
Also, look for the Rose Bowl to be the B1G championship game each New Year's day, the Sugar for the SEC24, and the Cotton for the Third24.
Look for something called the "Independent Invitational" game to be played in early December alongside the conference semifinals, and to be managed by The Playoff Commission, playing Notre Dame (and/or BYU?) and possibly service academies against a team hoping to make a playoff or better bowl claim, or any other 2 teams the Commission may deem appropriate in a given year in order to help clarify and minimize their playoff selections upcoming after the bowls. (It has been proposed that any Division 1 school relegated beyond the eligible76 could achieve instant transcendence with an undefeated (11-0) season
w/10 D1 winsand a likely invitation to the Independent Invitational prior to major bowl selection.)The bowls will play out during the holidays and could have playoff selection implications depending on the year.
PLAYOFF FLEXIBILITY IS THE KEY
(setting an arbitray number of playoff slots before the season plays out is a failed model):
The concept of yearly playoff flexibility should be incorporated. Every year is different; setting an arbitrary number of playoff slots before the season plays out inevitably rubs against fairness for the next team left out.
After the 3 Conference championships on New Year's Day (yielding 3 guaranteed advanced playoff births) the Playoff Commission should call no less than 4 teams, but up to 16, or any (even odd) number in between, such that no eligible undefeated team is left out (an "objective, measurable, clear and articulable delineation between the last team to qualify, and all remaining eligible teams…"), and playing such few games as necessary to answer but one question:
Who is number 1?
More Big 12 speculation…yawn.
New B1G numbers with USC and UCLA are almost $130 million in 2029.
And no ND?
Used a 20+ year old UNT logo. Weird.
The big 10 numbers are beofre eUCLa and USC.
After that big 10 will have the most revenue per team again
Your smoking more crack thank Bunter Hiden if you think the American Conference will be part of the Power group or that Jacksonville State is going to the American Conference before some of the other up and comers in the Sun Belt like Coastal Carolina.
The Big Ten estimate shown in 2024 was for their new media deal before USC and UCLA were announced as joining. The Pac-12 number for the eight years shown included USC and UCLA – which explains their desire to leave for the Big Ten. The media deal number that was rumored for the Big Ten earlier this year (before USC/UCLA) was $1 billion a year, which is around that $74 million when divided 14 ways. The new number in 2024 with USC/UCLA will be significantly more than what's estimated in the chart.
Your projection is a nice educated guess.
Pods:
North: Kentucky, Virginia, Tennessee, Vanderbilt, South Carolina
East: Clemson, UNC, Georgia, Florida, Auburn
South: Alabama, FSU, LSU, Ole Miss, Mississippi St
West: Texas A&M, Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Missouri
kid….stop your delusion…..you are just another nitwit with a you tube channel. None of this is even close to ever becoming reality…………B1G is NOT interested in Pitt or BC………….they would be like the #35 and #36 teams added to the B1G League…….how likely do you think there will be a 36 team league in your lifetime?
Hardest part of this would be is if b12 is financed by both espn and fox. That is the part I am trying to get past. Espn has more revenue and all of their eggs are in the SEC and fox in b12.
poorly presented.
Disney doesn’t stream live events. Are these your personal projections?
I came back to this video and honestly utah received so much hype for no reason. They lost 4 games last year. Just because they played Ohio State close when Ohio State was missing their best receivers doesn’t mean Utah was ever gonna be a top 4 team. Im not saying Utah is awful and I think they’re a top 15 team, but they had so much hype and I’m not sure why
Notre Dame @7? You should consider the scores in your poll.
Sad how Utah lost there first game
I’ve been a bama fan my whole life and unfortunately you’re just completely wrong about Alabama’s RB position. The only person they lost was B Rob and in my personal opinion he was absolute trash in comparison to a typical bama rb and I always hated seeing him on the field. Had Jase McClellan been healthy he would’ve been the one in the backfield come the crunch time snaps late in the season. They literally have 10x more talent returning there than they lost, so idk wtf you’re talking about there. And tbh non bama fans are gonna come to find out the level of talent they have to catch the ball too and I think people are also gonna come to find out Bryce Young made his receivers look a little better than they actually were. In 5 years time you’ll all find out that Jameson Williams was over drafted
Lou you got tenn at 22 come on bro
Uncle Lou love the content keep up the great work. How about that Wolfpack 🏈🙏
Appreciate the faith in the Buckeyes Lou. Offensively they should be elite but the defense has been so bad for years I don't know if I can put them there until I see the improvements with my own eyes. Go Bucks.
Lmao i turned this off seeing nc state and miami only 3 teams in the acc BC clempson and wake
Well I'm a bit shocked you didn't have at least someone from the Big10 West, because someone on that side is going to be able to put some wins together. I'd probably lean in on Iowa and Wisconsin, but I've not really deep dived either team so you would be more knowledgeable on the subject. I wouldn't even be surprised if it was Purdue's year because they have looked like they were getting ready to make a serious contention in the past couple of years.
Now don't get going on some rant, I'm not suggesting Purdue will be a serious contention for the national championship but their division? Yeah.
Lou we didn't lose all our backs. McClellan and Williams go hurt last year. We had Bryan Robinson and that was it. WE don't have issue at RB. I'm concerned about the O line and that's pretty much it.
I've completely changed my mind on Pitt after looking at their schedule and avoiding clemson,
I'm finishing up my top 25, and I don't think you're gonna like where I have the dawgs. But I think they finish the season with just one regular season loss, making it to but losing in the sec championship game to either bama or ole miss. Win their bowl game but miss the playoffs. #5 preseason but finishing behind Clemson at #6. They obviously have a higher overall talent than #5, but it's also part record projection
Thinking that you can take a lot from a spring game is laughable
Is Wake still on this list now?
I love it when uncle lou talks about Tennessee.
I don’t disagree with anything you said.
This is a great top 25 pre season poll.
Why no big 10 west
OSU hows crap defense.Suspect offensive line. Finish @4.
OU seems like a 9-3 team? An USC looks better with an atrocious defense and a bad O-Line? Why because they have a quarterback that cant read zone, a coach that dont have defenses and can't develop players? Cmon Lou u can do better than that, mark my words OU will surprise and USC wont do as good as u an others think