Win Every Game You Bet On in The NBA With This Strategy
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I think thatβs why heβs saying you have to pick games that have a spread of -3 or less. Because if so majority of the time the game is going to be close depending on how the first quarter goes. You have to watch it live in order to get a flow of the game. You canβt choose any game with a large spread like -7 and up or your chances are slim to none. He basically saying you will have better chances with having both teams as underdogs if the spread is no greater than 3 vs games with larger spreads.
I'm 2 minutes in and it looks like arbitrage betting.
Is this the strategy your implementing?
How funny I'm new to betting and notice this happening at work last night and tonight is my night off. I was going to do this!!
A sportsbook can block your account from doing this if you do it enough successfully they will restrict you from betting …
Come on people it's basic math!!
Your strategy makes no sense. Your winner at the end has to be enough to cover the money you put down on the team that lost. You would have to get at least +200 on the team that actually wins just to cover your loss on the team that lost. Basic math fool!!
This is the worst thing ever do not take this manβs advice. Operating under the assumption that itβs just inevitable that both teams will be dogs is outrageous. Not to mention youβre eating the vig for two bets versus one. There are plenty of games where a team gets to a big lead and holds it all game and the other guys never become plus money. If you have a +145 bet and they then become a favorite you should just hold onto it because you have a bet with positive EV. Paying another 4.5% is absurd. If this was a real strategy heβd keep it to himself
Just bet a hedge bet
so if its a blow out on the favorite side you just take L and move on ?
Can someone explain this with a different betting system. I don't understand money lines.
Sundays Best "night cap" π₯
NCAAM College π
7:00pm
Montana St ML
7:30pm
Yale -21
& over 133.5
8:00pm
St Mary's -8
& over 119.5
10:00pm
E.Washington +6.4
& over 143.5
8:00pm
CS Fullerton ML
& over 136.5
NBA π
7:30pm
Utah Jazz ML
& under 218.5
8:00pm
Chicago Bulls ML
& over 232.5
9:00pm
Sacramento Kings ML
& under 237
9:30pm
LA Lakers +5
& under 218
NFL π
San Diego Chargers +8.5
& over 45.5
My preferred sportsbook sets the pregame odds for the 'dogs at 10/11 so if you bet 50 you'll win around 95 (45 profit) which if course doesn't even cover the second stake of 50. The second stake would/could pay more if you caught it at the peak when the odds are shifting around on a set spread but the point is its designed so that you will still make a small loss if the secondary bet doesn't come in. So using that sportsbook (which is the most generous for odds) for pregame bets on a + spread wouldn't really work in that way you're suggesting, however if you wait for the game to start and then bet in-play when the favorites go 3 or 5 points clear at the start of the 1st, you can actually get better odds like 1/1 or 21/20 momentarily. So it would be better to wait until the game starts and place your first bet on the dog when they go a few behind and then wait for things to swing around then light up the new underdog with the best odds you can get. Using multiple sportsbooks hasn't fixed this problem for me because, as I say, the best odds are on that sportsbook almost usually always unless one of the others are doing some kinda special.
Also, the beauty of this is that BOTH of the results could come home. You forgot to mention this.
ππ½
So you'd place these bets on separate sports books? Because I'd assume the sports book would pick up on this.
Exactlyβ¦. Iβm guessing here, but im thinking that this strategy would probably work best if you can get both sides at ATLEAST +150? That way when you bet an underdog and they never come back you only need to be correct on 2 gamesβ¦. Iβm thinking if your doing this strategy at +125 for both sides, then you would have to get 5 games right just to see a small profitβ¦.
I've always thought about this strategy, but wouldn't blindly do this. I think its worth looking through data to understand what the long term expected value is. How often do 3-3.5 underdogs become the favorites at any point in the game and does this out profit the frequency at which the underdogs DONT become favorites at any point. The other question would be is what is the expected + money value that would net you the most profit. Do we hedge at +120, +110, +140, etc? Definitely need a well defined system, but I like the thought.
This is a stupid bet to Make 25$ so this a -275 bet really this is dumb
How is this profit tho?
100ea team
1st team +145= $145
2nd team +120 = $$120
Say 2nd team wins u still lost $80 lol
Total spent is $200 and you only won $120