Forgive me the spammy title – it’s the only way to get eyes on the video – it’s not clickbait though, we really do look at some amazing profits in the dutching correct scores market.
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Quick question if I may, can you please clarify what you mean by the draw correct scores? Eg is it where the poisson predicts value for the draw market in the match odds, or betting every single correct score draw regardless of the WDL market?
"The reason most people never reach their goals is that they don't define them, or ever seriously consider them as believable or achievable. Winners can tell you where they are going, what they plan to do along the way, and who will be sharing the adventure with them." –Denis Waitley
Interestingly enough, about 2 weeks ago, I did a break-down of all the final Betfair scorelines for the MBM system that have come in since February (not the Poisson pack). I wanted to try determine if there was an edge for doing a spread across the top 3 (or so) most common scorelines. I found some combinations that were marginally profitable, but sadly not enough to to justify all the effort placing the bets and to cover the subscription costs. I'll post them below, just in case anyone's interested (Note that I missed a few matches here and there, and it doesn't include the last 2 weeks of data, so not 100% accurate. But still a decent sample size):
MBM System Most Frequent Scorelines:
1-0 = 36
1-1 = 27
2-1 = 23
0-1 = 22
0-0 = 21
2-0 = 17
1-2 = 16
2-2 = 15
1-3 = 11
3-0 = 10
0-2 = 10
3-1 = 9
0-3 = 8
3-2 = 4
2-3 = 3
3-3 = 2
Any Other HOME Wins:
4-0 = 4
4-1 = 4
4-2 = 3
4-3 = 1
5-0 = 1
5-1 = 1
5-2 = 1
6-2 = 1
Any Other AWAY Wins:
1-4 = 2
2-4 = 2
Shame the draw system went to rat shit!